Latest Dr. Soumya Kanti Ghosh News & Updates

New Delhi, July 24 (IANS) An SBI Research report on Friday estimated that after accounting for GST collections together with states’ share in basic excise duty (BED), states are expected to be net gainers by approximately Rs 1.43 lakh crore in FY27 compared to FY26.Going forward, the report expects a rebound in the GST collections and yearly growth in the range of 8-9 per cent and the moderation in collection is due to rate rationalisation, which is on expected lines.Under the revised framework,…

New Delhi, July 10 (IANS) India’s best strategy to get the best trade deal with the US is to wear down the opening position, not the relationship, keep the conversation warm, avoid public escalation, make limited and reversible offers, and wait for the Donald Trump Administration’s first demand to run into the US market costs, China-balancing needs and alliance fatigue, an SBI Research report said on Friday.Then bargain late, when Washington’s reservation price is clearer and India’s value a…

New Delhi, May 11 (IANS) India’s economy has remained resilient amid global shocks and is projected to clock the full year 2026-27 GDP growth rate of 6.6 per cent, with real GDP growth of closer to 7.2 per cent in the fourth quarter last fiscal (Q4 FY26), an SBI Research report said on Monday.The GDP growth for last fiscal (FY26) is likely to be at 7.5 per cent. Despite global headwinds, the Indian economy has maintained strong growth momentum. High-frequency activity data indicates resilient …

New Delhi, Feb 24 (IANS) India’s GDP growth in the third quarter of FY26 is likely to come at 8-8.1 per cent, an SBI Research report said on Tuesday, adding that the domestic economy has maintained strong growth momentum despite global headwinds.High-frequency activity data indicates resilient economic activity in Q3 FY26 (October-December 2025). “Rural consumption remains strong, driven by positive signals from farm and non-farm activity. Supported by fiscal stimulus, urban consumption show…

New Delhi, Feb 12 (IANS) India’s trade surplus with the US may cross $90 billion annually after the trade deal, with at least a $45 billion annual additional trade surplus with the US, which is 1.1 per cent of the GDP, and savings of $3 billion in forex reserve, an SBI Research report said on Thursday.The trade deal with the US, back on the heels of wide arc of trade deals with the EU and the UK, catapults India to a unique strategic position wherein the country, as also its exporters, are poi…

New Delhi, Jan 28 (IANS) Even as the RBI has cut repo rate by 125 basis points and has proactively injected/announced Rs 6.6 lakh crore in the current fiscal as part of open market operations (OMO), yields are refusing to budge down, as such level of liquidity management has resulted in asymmetric transmission across market segments, an SBI Research report said on Wednesday.This is unprecedented as this is the largest OMO in the history of monetary management. Factoring in the CRR injection, the…

New Delhi, Jan 26 (IANS) India continues to remain the bright spot supported by its strong macro fundamentals and the government capex may cross Rs 12 lakh crore in FY27, a year-on-year growth of 10 per cent, an SBI Research report said on Monday.The nominal GDP growth relevant for Budget math is expected at 10.5-11 per cent with the uptrend in global commodity prices may percolate in a higher WPI.A bit slower nominal growth may hurt tax revenues in FY27, requiring better expenditure planning. H…

New Delhi, Jan 5 (IANS) Crude oil prices are projected to soften significantly to touch around $50 per barrel (bbl) by June 2026, positively affecting the CPI inflation, keeping it decisively below 3.4 per cent in the next fiscal (FY27), an SBI Research report said on Monday.Benign energy prices will impact the GDP outlook favourably, and the expected impact on annual GDP growth is around 10-15 bps, according to the report authored by Dr Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Advisor, State Ba…

New Delhi, Dec 29 (IANS) The fund sharing between the Centre and states under the new VB-G RAM G will be based on normative assessment, and states stand to gain around Rs 17,000 crore when compared to average allocation of last seven years, an SBI Research report showed on Monday.Using a simulated scenario of normative assessment of (only Centre’s share), with seven attributes/parameters spread across twin fulcrum of equity and efficiency, “we estimate the states gain around Rs 17,000 crore …