Matrize’s exit polls suggest significant gains for the BJP in the West Bengal and Assam assembly elections. In West Bengal, the BJP is expected to secure 146–161 seats with a vote share of 42.5%, while the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) is projected to win 125–140 seats with a 40.8% vote share.
Moving to Assam, the BJP-led alliance is predicted to comfortably retain power in the 126-seat Assembly. The survey indicates that BJP plus is likely to secure 85–95 seats with a 45.5% vote share. On the other hand, the Congress-led alliance is expected to win 25–32 seats with a 39.8% vote share, while other parties may secure 6–12 seats with a 14.7% vote share.
In Tamil Nadu, the DMK-led alliance is anticipated to maintain power in the 234-seat Assembly. Matrize projects DMK plus to win 122–132 seats with a 40.3% vote share, crossing the majority mark. The AIADMK-led alliance is expected to secure 87–100 seats with a 37.1% vote share, and the TVK is likely to win 10–12 seats with a 17.5% vote share.
The upcoming elections in Kerala’s 140-seat Assembly are expected to be closely contested between the Congress-led UDF and the Left Democratic Front (LDF). The UDF is projected to secure 70–75 seats with a 41.7% vote share, slightly ahead of the LDF, which is estimated to win 60–65 seats with a 39.5% vote share. The NDA is predicted to have a minor role with 3–5 seats, while others may secure 2–4 seats.
