The weather forecast for Madhya Pradesh until March 1 morning predicts dry conditions across all districts, with clear skies in Bhopal where temperatures are expected to range from 15 to 31 degrees Celsius with 10-12 kmph winds. Over the next five days, a gradual increase of 2-3 degrees Celsius in maximum temperatures is anticipated, potentially leading to heatwave-like conditions in low-lying areas. Various synoptic systems are in play, including a cyclonic circulation over West Rajasthan, a trough extending to Vidarbha via West Madhya Pradesh, and a subtropical westerly jet stream over Northwest India.
A fresh Western Disturbance is forecasted to affect the Western Himalayas starting from the night of March 4, which may indirectly bring mild cloudiness to northern Madhya Pradesh, although immediate rainfall is not expected. The India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) Meteorological Centre in Bhopal has released its latest weather bulletin, highlighting a prolonged dry spell in the state with no significant rainfall recorded in the past 24 hours. As Madhya Pradesh commemorates 150 years of IMD’s service, the report emphasizes stable yet above-normal temperatures, indicating the beginning of warmer pre-summer conditions.
In the last day, the weather remained dry across all divisions of the state, including Gwalior, Chambal, Rewa, Jabalpur, Sagar, Shahdol, Narmadapuram, Indore, Ujjain, and Bhopal. Maximum temperatures have shown slight variations, with some areas experiencing temperatures 1.7-3.0 degrees Celsius above normal. The hottest locations recorded include Khargone, Khajuraho, Narmadapuram, Khandwa, and Berasia in Bhopal, while cooler temperatures were observed in hill stations like Pachmarhi and Amarkantak.
Minimum temperatures have risen notably in certain regions, with Gwalior and Shahdol experiencing temperatures 2.3-4.4 degrees Celsius above normal. The coldest nights were reported in Mandsaur, Pachmarhi, Indore, Karoundi (Katni), Kalyanpur (Shahdol), and Girvar (Shajapur). Warmer minimum temperatures were noted in Kannod (Dewas) and Jabalpur.
Temperature anomaly maps indicate that maximum temperatures in western and southern Madhya Pradesh are 2-4 degrees Celsius above normal, while northern areas like Gwalior are closer to normal. Minimum temperature maps show a 3-4 degree Celsius increase. Rainfall forecasts for February 28 to March 4 suggest dry conditions with no expected precipitation, thunderstorms, or gusty winds.
