Pakistan’s trajectory, resembling North Korea’s path of sanctions and nuclear expansion, raises concerns for the US, according to a recent report. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has highlighted Pakistan as a significant nuclear threat alongside Russia, China, and North Korea. Gabbard’s warning emphasizes the potential risk posed by Pakistan’s advancing missile capabilities, which could target the continental US.
Gabbard’s 2026 threat assessment underscores Pakistan’s development of ‘novel or advanced’ ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear or conventional warheads with extended range. The report points out that Pakistan’s arsenal growth not only involves increased quantity but also sophistication, including advanced technologies like multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles. The rivalry with India and support from Chinese technology have propelled Pakistan’s military capabilities beyond defensive needs.
Sanctions imposed by the US to deter Pakistan’s nuclear advancements have shown limited success. Recent actions by the US Treasury targeting Pakistani entities involved in missile development, including the National Development Complex, reflect ongoing concerns. These firms support missile systems like the Shaheen series, with ranges surpassing 2,750 kilometers, posing a significant threat to regional stability.
The report also highlights Pakistan’s association with terror groups such as Lashkar e Taiba (LeT) and Jaish e Mohammed (JeM), which continue to operate actively within the country. Recent airstrikes by Pakistan in Afghanistan, resulting in civilian casualties, indicate a volatile security situation. The report draws attention to the case of Osama bin Laden, emphasizing the risks associated with a nation harboring terrorists possessing nuclear capabilities.
