The southwest monsoon is yet to fully cover northern India, but intermittent rainfall is expected to offer relief from the prevailing heat in Delhi-NCR and nearby regions. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast light showers in Delhi on June 27 and between July 1 and 2. Additionally, rainfall is expected in parts of Uttar Pradesh over the next few days.
Delhi’s weather is predicted to be partly cloudy for the next five days, with sunshine during the day transitioning to cloud cover. Gusty winds are anticipated in the afternoon, followed by isolated rain in the evening. Similar weather conditions are expected in neighboring areas like Noida and Ghaziabad.
Changes in weather patterns are also foreseen across Punjab, Haryana, and Chandigarh. Western districts of Rajasthan are on a rain alert for June 27, with the possibility of thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds. Wind speeds may reach up to 50 kmph in western Rajasthan from June 28 to July 2, with similar conditions expected in eastern Rajasthan until July 2. Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and rain are likely in Uttarakhand between June 30 and July 2.
The IMD has indicated that conditions are becoming favorable for the southwest monsoon to advance into more parts of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Uttarakhand over the next few days. Recent satellite images show dense monsoon cloud cover over central India, the Bay of Bengal, northeastern states, and parts of southern India. However, regions like Delhi-NCR, Haryana, Punjab, western Uttar Pradesh, and Rajasthan continue to experience clear skies, indicating the monsoon’s full establishment is pending.
Meteorologists explain that while the monsoon circulation is moving northward, the necessary weather systems for widespread rainfall in northwestern India are still developing. The official advance of the monsoon depends on factors like wind patterns, moisture levels, and sustained rainfall over a large area. The current pause in monsoon activity is attributed to the absence of strong low-pressure systems over the Bay of Bengal, crucial for strengthening the monsoon.
Weather models suggest an improvement soon, with a tropical weather system expected to form over the eastern Indian Ocean and move into the Bay of Bengal. This development could enhance the monsoon flow, leading to intensified rainfall activity in the first week of July. If these systems materialize as projected, the monsoon’s progress is expected to accelerate across northwest India, including Delhi-NCR.
