Security analysts are noting a concerning trend where terror groups are distancing themselves from direct acts of terror. Recent busts reveal modules with no direct ties to major groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba or Al-Qaeda. These modules, either affiliated with or inspired by, are seen as a deliberate move by Pakistan to evade scrutiny from the FATF.
The deliberate strategy aims to keep major terror groups at arm’s length while maintaining influence. By designating these groups as terrorists, tracking their networks becomes more manageable for security agencies. This tactic extends to groups advocating for a separate Khalistan nation, where indirect involvement is favored.
Pakistan’s utilization of gangster networks, like Babbar Khalsa International, showcases a shift towards indirect support for terror activities. Funding for these groups, largely from Pakistan, serves dual purposes of sustaining anti-India activities while avoiding FATF scrutiny. The monitoring agency closely monitors fund usage within Pakistan.
The consequences of Pakistan re-entering the FATF Grey List are dire, given its economic fragility. Pressure from countries like China, invested in projects like CPEC, adds to Pakistan’s reluctance to return to the list. Despite practical considerations, Pakistan’s ISI and army remain committed to sustaining unrest in India through covert means.
Security officials anticipate dealing with diverse, Pakistan-influenced modules, each with varying ideological inspirations. The complexity of these modules, drawing from multiple terror groups, poses challenges for investigators. Recent busts involving groups inspired by Al-Qaeda and Jaish-e-Mohammed highlight the intricate nature of these investigations.
