Over 70 individuals lost their lives in recent jihadist assaults in central Mali, claimed by the Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM), a group closely associated with Al-Qaeda. Despite assumptions of Al-Qaeda’s decline following Osama Bin Laden’s demise, the group has shown resilience, even launching the All-Qaeda in the Sub-Continent (AQIS) wing with a focus on India. The outfit, though not as successful as anticipated, remains a significant threat.
Officials note a concerning trend regarding Al-Qaeda’s activities, particularly its advancements in Africa over the years. The recent attacks in Mali, situated in West Africa, underscore the group’s enduring potency. The world’s diversion of attention from Al-Qaeda allowed the group to regroup and strengthen, catching many off guard with its resurgence.
The AQIS, relatively subdued in recent years, has concentrated on online propaganda while maintaining a lower profile than the Islamic State. Law enforcement agencies emphasize the need to take the AQIS seriously, especially in light of events like the Mali attacks, which could signal a resurgence of the group on a larger scale.
Intelligence sources highlight the potential for AQIS to gain traction in India, particularly in comparison to the Islamic State, given Bin Laden’s enduring appeal in certain regions. The Al-Qaeda’s strategy of operating through affiliates, like the JNIM in Mali, showcases its preference for achieving objectives over claiming credit for attacks.
The Mali attacks serve as a source of inspiration for the AQIS, likely to be used in propaganda efforts to attract followers. In India, the Base Movement, an AQIS affiliate, has intensified its online presence following the Mali incidents, indicating a potential escalation of activities within the country. Intelligence reports suggest that operatives of AQIS and Base Movement, previously maintaining a low profile, may be gearing up for operations in India.
Amid global distractions, Al-Qaeda and AQIS aim to capitalize on the world’s diverted focus, with the Mali attacks serving as a catalyst for their agendas. The groups’ operatives, previously lying low, are showing increased online activity, hinting at potential forthcoming actions in India.
