The Southwest Monsoon has weakened in Rajasthan, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicting dry weather for the upcoming week. Most parts of the state are not expected to receive significant rainfall. Phalodi recorded the highest maximum temperature at 41 degrees Celsius, while Ajmer saw the lowest minimum temperature at 24.9 degrees Celsius.
The IMD forecasts predominantly dry weather in the Jodhpur and Bikaner divisions of western Rajasthan for the next seven days. In eastern Rajasthan, dry conditions are expected for the next five to six days, with isolated light rainfall possible in certain areas on specific dates. The Udaipur division may experience scattered showers on July 16 and 17.
Gusty dust-laden winds with speeds of 30–40 kmph are anticipated in various parts of the Jodhpur and Bikaner divisions over the next two to three days. The current dry spell is attributed to a weak monsoon circulation and the absence of active upper-air weather systems. Although the Southwest Monsoon has covered Rajasthan, the necessary atmospheric conditions for widespread rainfall are currently lacking.
Meteorologists at the Jaipur Meteorological Centre expect the monsoon to remain weak for about another week. However, there are indications of a potential low-pressure system developing over the Bay of Bengal around July 20, which could enhance monsoon activity in Rajasthan. This revival is anticipated to bring relief from heat and humidity, benefiting the ongoing kharif cropping season.
The Southwest Monsoon arrived in Rajasthan on July 2, 2026, seven days later than usual. This is the eighth instance in the last 27 years that the monsoon has reached the state in July. Historical data shows that Rajasthan experienced its wettest monsoon in 1917, with 844.2 mm of rainfall, significantly above the seasonal average. The 2025 monsoon season ranked as the second wettest on record, with 715.9 mm of rainfall, while the long-term average stands at 435.6 mm.
