China conducted a long-range ballistic missile test on July 6, the same day Prime Minister Narendra Modi began his tour of Indonesia, Australia, and New Zealand. The missile launch, denounced by Canberra and Wellington, showcased China’s expanding military capabilities and assertive stance in the region. Despite Washington’s concerns over the test, its commitment to the Indo-Pacific region appears to be wavering.
Indian analysts view Modi’s tour as an opportunity to strengthen ties with key Indo-Pacific nations and promote the vision of a Free and Open Indo-Pacific. The Quad’s aim to foster regional cooperation aligns with India’s strategic interests in the face of disruptive global dynamics. The test launch marked China’s second ballistic missile firing into international waters in recent years, underscoring its growing military prowess and nuclear deterrence strategy.
While the US has criticized China’s missile test and reaffirmed its defense commitments to allies, its stance on the Indo-Pacific region seems uncertain. Washington’s ambiguous approach to the Quad and Indo-Pacific strategy, coupled with hints of a potential G2 partnership with China, raises questions about its regional priorities. New Delhi, despite frustrations with Washington’s inconsistent policies, seeks to balance its engagements with Tokyo, Canberra, Wellington, and Jakarta without alienating the US.
President Trump’s assurances to PM Modi during the G7 Summit were well-received in India, signaling a positive tone in bilateral relations. However, sustaining a robust Indo-Pacific strategy demands substantial resources and continuous political attention, potentially straining India’s capabilities. By proactively engaging with regional partners through Modi’s diplomatic initiatives, India aims to strengthen its position in the Indo-Pacific arena and reduce dependence on unpredictable global dynamics.
